Always 72 degrees and grainy

Monday, January 4, 2010

Joe Nathan Warms Up, 9/2/09


Familiar Metrodome sights: Nathan readying for the ninth, modern hairstyles and seats facing the wrong way for baseball. After Brian Duensing pitched the game of his life, striking out seven in seven shutout innings, and Jon Rauch tiptoed through the eighth, we saw an unfamiliar sight: Nathan shockingly and crushingly gave up four runs, including back-to-back HRs by Gordon Beckham and Paul Konerko.

Friday, January 1, 2010

Projected 2010 Starting First Basemen and Their Benchwarmer Salaries

If there's one thing I've learned after painstakingly reviewing teams' depth charts at catcher and first base, it's that the Mets stink. I'm adding a column to these tables each time.

updated 3/20/10 - Branyan in CLE? Sanchez in FLA?

*Note: Clement is penciled in as his team's starting 1B, but will not qualify in BWB until he plays 5 consecutive or 10 total games at 1B in 2010.

** 29 lifetime AB

Team Starter 2010 Salary Career OPS Bang Other Pos
StL Albert Pujols 9874 1055 .106846
Col Todd Helton 3350 994 .296716
Hou Lance Berkman 3472 967 .278514
Phi Ryan Howard 7973 961 .120532
Mil Prince Fielder 7054 931 .131982
Det Miguel Cabrera 6426 925 .143946
Cin Joey Votto 2200 924 .420000
NYY Mark Teixeira 7108 923 .129854
Was Adam Dunn 4031 903 .224014
Bos Kevin Youkilis 3621 878 .242474 3B
Fla Gaby Sanchez** 100 874 8.740000
ChC Derrek Lee 4966 873 .175795
SD Adrian Gonzalez 5381 869 .161494
TB Carlos Pena 2581 858 .332429
Atl Troy Glaus 1053 856 .812915 3B
Min Justin Morneau 3849 851 .221096
ChW Paul Konerko 2953 843 .285472
LAA Kendry Morales 3574 839 .234751
Ari Adam LaRoche 2997 834 .278278
Cle Russ Branyan 1213 822 .677659
Tor Lyle Overbay 1821 812 .445909
SF Aubrey Huff 2690 812 .301859
Bal Garrett Atkins 1962 811 .413354 3B
LAD James Loney 2997 806 .268936
KC Billy Butler 3058 798 .260955
Tex Chris Davis 1002 793 .791417
NYM Daniel Murphy 1198 768 .641068 OF
Oak Jake Fox 301 761 2.528239 3B, OF
Sea Casey Kotchman 1217 742 .609696
Pit Jeff Clement* 144 701 4.868056 C

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Projected 2010 Starting Catchers and Their Benchwarmer Salaries

At some point in one of the Godfather books, Vito Corleone reveals to Michael his prime motivation: to stay alive. All the rest (intense devotion to the olive business, etc.) follows therefrom. The Benchwarmer equivalent to this ethos is making sure you have players who are.....playing. With 16 Benchwarmer teams per league and 30 real life starters, if you can get more than two of them on your team, you are not only working toward preventing the dreaded benchwarmer batter oh-fer, you are increasing the likelihood of your opponents having this problem. With five bench slots, I try to have at least one backup at every position, with as many multi-position guys (preferably ones who can hit) as possible. If you can get a starter with a salary of 250 or under, he can be stashed in the minors or played as necessary.

This list doesn't include some prospects who haven't officially won jobs yet. I also kind of gave up on figuring out the Mets' plan for now, as they seem to have at least four backup catchers. My goal is to keep this post updated and linked throughout the year. I have ordered the list by career OPS. I also made up a stat called "Bang" which is short for "Bang for the Benchwamer Buck" and is simply OPS / Salary. This isn't too useful as an overall measure, but can tell you at a glance that Miguel Montero is about twice as good a bargain as Russell Martin, directly below him. For that matter, after checking out some of the Bangs that jump out, does it really seem like the worst idea to invest in, for example, Lou Marson, Taylor Teagarden and Jesus Flores for a measly 613 Bucks?

Updated 3/20/10 - Mets read this blog, acquire the great Barajas.

Team Starter 2010 Salary Career OPS Bang
Min Joe Mauer 4616 892 .193241
NYY Jorge Posada 1404 859 .611823
Atl Brian McCann 2160 853 .394907
LAA Mike Napoli 1050 850 .809524
Bos Victor Martinez 3519 837 .237852
ChC Geovany Soto 1020 809 .793137
Was Ivan Rodriguez 1217 807 .663106
Col Chris Iannetta 828 807 .974638
Fla John Baker 853 787 .922626
Pit Ryan Doumit 786 780 .992366
Ari Miguel Montero 1108 776 .700361
TB Kelly Shoppach 718 776 1.080780
LAD Russell Martin 2071 774 .373732
Cle Lou Marson 100 771 7.710000
ChW A.J. Pierzynski 1662 754 .453670
Bal Matt Wieters 644 753 1.169255
KC Jason Kendall 1206 752 .623549
Tex Taylor Teagarden 238 752 3.159664
Cin Ramon Hernandez 869 743 .855006
Mil Gregg Zaun 518 732 1.413127
Oak Kurt Suzuki 1909 727 .380828
SF Bengie Molina 1735 726 .418444
Phi Carlos Ruiz 776 716 .922680
Tor John Buck 518 705 1.361004
StL Yadier Molina 1423 692 .486297
NYM Rod Barajas 1083 691 .638042
SD Nick Hundley 367 683 1.861035
Det Gerald Laird 925 673 .727568
Hou J.R. Towles 119 609 5.117647
Sea Rob Johnson 295 589 1.996610

Sunday, December 27, 2009

My 2010 Top Benchwarmer Baseball Prospects

I am defining "prospect" as any player eligible for rookie status in 2010. For the purpose of this list the player must be currently on the Benchwarmer player list. For the "starters" I am choosing based on a combination of upside and the ability to contribute to a BWB lineup sooner rather than later (i.e. having a job is a big help). All salaries are 100 unless noted otherwise.

Here is a full Benchwarmer starting roster (+ taxi squad):

updated 1/25/10

C: Buster Posey - SF
1B: Justin Smoak - Tex
2B: Scott Sizemore - Det
SS: Alcides Escobar - Mil (Salary 147)
3B: Pedro Alvarez - Pit
OF: Jason Heyward - Atl
OF: Desmond Jennings - TB
OF: Dustin Ackley - Sea
DH: Brett Wallace - Tor
B1: Chris Carter - 1B - Oak
B2: Carlos Santana - C - Cle
B3: Fernando Martinez - OF - NYM (Salary 106)
B4: Ian Desmond - SS/2B - Was (Salary 109)
B5: David Freese - 3B/C/1B - StL
SP1: Neftali Feliz - Tex (Salary 200)
SP2: Stephen Strasburg - Was
SP3: Wade Davis - TB (Salary 202)
SP4: Brian Matusz - Bal (Salary 200)
SP5: Jeremy Hellickson - TB
SS1: Kyle Drabek - Tor
SS2: Madison Bumgarner - SF
RP1: Daniel Bard - Bos (Salary 497)
RP2: Drew Storen - Was
RP3: Daniel Schlereth- Det
RP4: Clevelan Santeliz - CWS
RP5: Carlos Gutierrez - Min
T1: Jacob Turner - SP - Det
T2: Chris Heisey - OF - Cin

Here are 12 longer term picks to fill out our roster's minor league spots. Looking for ultimate upside here. I may tweak this (so many choices!):

M1: Aaron Hicks - OF - Min (a homer pick, but so was Joe Mauer)
M2: Donovan Tate - OF - SD
M3: Bobby Borchering -3B - Ari
M4: Mike Trout - OF - LAA
M5: Jared Mitchell - OF - CWS
M6: Lonnie Chisenhall - SS - Cle
M7: Ike Davis - 1B - NYM
M8: Tyler Matzek - P - Col
M9: Casey Kelly - P (SS?)- Bos
M10: Chris Withrow - P - LAD
M11: Shelby Miller - P - StL
M12: Josh Vitters - 3B - ChC


OK, who did I forget? Or, which recent first round draft picks will be better BWB contributors than these guys? Comments encouraged.

Friday, December 25, 2009

Projected 2010 Closers and Their Benchwarmer Salaries

You should have at least two of these, as saves are counted for the first two slots in your bullpen. Obviously you can save a lot of money by getting the right guy before a couple of 40 save seasons (note massive salary discrepancies below), but don't guess wrong, as the expensive, reliable guys never seem to be available when you want them. I will actually try to keep this list up to date throughout the season and keep a nice link to it somewhere. Please comment with corrections, updates, comments :), etc.


updated 1/23/10 with Dotel to the Pirates


Ari Chad Qualls 1253
Atl Billy Wagner 869
Bal Mike Gonzalez 2182
Bos Jonathan Papelbon 6110
ChC Carlos Marmol 2980
ChW Bobby Jenks 1616
Cin Francisco Cordero 4644
Cle Kerry Wood 1270
Col Huston Street 2908
Det Jose Valverde
2477
Fla Leo Nunez 1527
Hou Matt Lindstrom 813
KC Joakim Soria 3502
LAA Brian Fuentes 3351
LAD Jonathan Broxton 4080
Mil Trevor Hoffman 2912
Min Joe Nathan 7753
NYM Francisco Rodriguez 4444
NYY Mariano Rivera 8231
Oak Andrew Bailey 3777
Phi Brad Lidge 2718
Pit Octavio Dotel
1386
StL Ryan Franklin 4587
SD Heath Bell 3918
SF Brian Wilson 3694
Sea David Aardsma 3470
TB Rafael Soriano 2959
Tex Frank Francisco 1007
Tor Jason Frasor 1679
Was Matt Capps 1009

Thursday, December 24, 2009

Save the Dome?


This guy knows he wants some kind of stadium for the Vikings. Would probably settle for a renovated Dome.