Always 72 degrees and grainy

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Projected 2010 Starting Catchers and Their Benchwarmer Salaries

At some point in one of the Godfather books, Vito Corleone reveals to Michael his prime motivation: to stay alive. All the rest (intense devotion to the olive business, etc.) follows therefrom. The Benchwarmer equivalent to this ethos is making sure you have players who are.....playing. With 16 Benchwarmer teams per league and 30 real life starters, if you can get more than two of them on your team, you are not only working toward preventing the dreaded benchwarmer batter oh-fer, you are increasing the likelihood of your opponents having this problem. With five bench slots, I try to have at least one backup at every position, with as many multi-position guys (preferably ones who can hit) as possible. If you can get a starter with a salary of 250 or under, he can be stashed in the minors or played as necessary.

This list doesn't include some prospects who haven't officially won jobs yet. I also kind of gave up on figuring out the Mets' plan for now, as they seem to have at least four backup catchers. My goal is to keep this post updated and linked throughout the year. I have ordered the list by career OPS. I also made up a stat called "Bang" which is short for "Bang for the Benchwamer Buck" and is simply OPS / Salary. This isn't too useful as an overall measure, but can tell you at a glance that Miguel Montero is about twice as good a bargain as Russell Martin, directly below him. For that matter, after checking out some of the Bangs that jump out, does it really seem like the worst idea to invest in, for example, Lou Marson, Taylor Teagarden and Jesus Flores for a measly 613 Bucks?

Updated 3/20/10 - Mets read this blog, acquire the great Barajas.

Team Starter 2010 Salary Career OPS Bang
Min Joe Mauer 4616 892 .193241
NYY Jorge Posada 1404 859 .611823
Atl Brian McCann 2160 853 .394907
LAA Mike Napoli 1050 850 .809524
Bos Victor Martinez 3519 837 .237852
ChC Geovany Soto 1020 809 .793137
Was Ivan Rodriguez 1217 807 .663106
Col Chris Iannetta 828 807 .974638
Fla John Baker 853 787 .922626
Pit Ryan Doumit 786 780 .992366
Ari Miguel Montero 1108 776 .700361
TB Kelly Shoppach 718 776 1.080780
LAD Russell Martin 2071 774 .373732
Cle Lou Marson 100 771 7.710000
ChW A.J. Pierzynski 1662 754 .453670
Bal Matt Wieters 644 753 1.169255
KC Jason Kendall 1206 752 .623549
Tex Taylor Teagarden 238 752 3.159664
Cin Ramon Hernandez 869 743 .855006
Mil Gregg Zaun 518 732 1.413127
Oak Kurt Suzuki 1909 727 .380828
SF Bengie Molina 1735 726 .418444
Phi Carlos Ruiz 776 716 .922680
Tor John Buck 518 705 1.361004
StL Yadier Molina 1423 692 .486297
NYM Rod Barajas 1083 691 .638042
SD Nick Hundley 367 683 1.861035
Det Gerald Laird 925 673 .727568
Hou J.R. Towles 119 609 5.117647
Sea Rob Johnson 295 589 1.996610

Sunday, December 27, 2009

My 2010 Top Benchwarmer Baseball Prospects

I am defining "prospect" as any player eligible for rookie status in 2010. For the purpose of this list the player must be currently on the Benchwarmer player list. For the "starters" I am choosing based on a combination of upside and the ability to contribute to a BWB lineup sooner rather than later (i.e. having a job is a big help). All salaries are 100 unless noted otherwise.

Here is a full Benchwarmer starting roster (+ taxi squad):

updated 1/25/10

C: Buster Posey - SF
1B: Justin Smoak - Tex
2B: Scott Sizemore - Det
SS: Alcides Escobar - Mil (Salary 147)
3B: Pedro Alvarez - Pit
OF: Jason Heyward - Atl
OF: Desmond Jennings - TB
OF: Dustin Ackley - Sea
DH: Brett Wallace - Tor
B1: Chris Carter - 1B - Oak
B2: Carlos Santana - C - Cle
B3: Fernando Martinez - OF - NYM (Salary 106)
B4: Ian Desmond - SS/2B - Was (Salary 109)
B5: David Freese - 3B/C/1B - StL
SP1: Neftali Feliz - Tex (Salary 200)
SP2: Stephen Strasburg - Was
SP3: Wade Davis - TB (Salary 202)
SP4: Brian Matusz - Bal (Salary 200)
SP5: Jeremy Hellickson - TB
SS1: Kyle Drabek - Tor
SS2: Madison Bumgarner - SF
RP1: Daniel Bard - Bos (Salary 497)
RP2: Drew Storen - Was
RP3: Daniel Schlereth- Det
RP4: Clevelan Santeliz - CWS
RP5: Carlos Gutierrez - Min
T1: Jacob Turner - SP - Det
T2: Chris Heisey - OF - Cin

Here are 12 longer term picks to fill out our roster's minor league spots. Looking for ultimate upside here. I may tweak this (so many choices!):

M1: Aaron Hicks - OF - Min (a homer pick, but so was Joe Mauer)
M2: Donovan Tate - OF - SD
M3: Bobby Borchering -3B - Ari
M4: Mike Trout - OF - LAA
M5: Jared Mitchell - OF - CWS
M6: Lonnie Chisenhall - SS - Cle
M7: Ike Davis - 1B - NYM
M8: Tyler Matzek - P - Col
M9: Casey Kelly - P (SS?)- Bos
M10: Chris Withrow - P - LAD
M11: Shelby Miller - P - StL
M12: Josh Vitters - 3B - ChC


OK, who did I forget? Or, which recent first round draft picks will be better BWB contributors than these guys? Comments encouraged.

Friday, December 25, 2009

Projected 2010 Closers and Their Benchwarmer Salaries

You should have at least two of these, as saves are counted for the first two slots in your bullpen. Obviously you can save a lot of money by getting the right guy before a couple of 40 save seasons (note massive salary discrepancies below), but don't guess wrong, as the expensive, reliable guys never seem to be available when you want them. I will actually try to keep this list up to date throughout the season and keep a nice link to it somewhere. Please comment with corrections, updates, comments :), etc.


updated 1/23/10 with Dotel to the Pirates


Ari Chad Qualls 1253
Atl Billy Wagner 869
Bal Mike Gonzalez 2182
Bos Jonathan Papelbon 6110
ChC Carlos Marmol 2980
ChW Bobby Jenks 1616
Cin Francisco Cordero 4644
Cle Kerry Wood 1270
Col Huston Street 2908
Det Jose Valverde
2477
Fla Leo Nunez 1527
Hou Matt Lindstrom 813
KC Joakim Soria 3502
LAA Brian Fuentes 3351
LAD Jonathan Broxton 4080
Mil Trevor Hoffman 2912
Min Joe Nathan 7753
NYM Francisco Rodriguez 4444
NYY Mariano Rivera 8231
Oak Andrew Bailey 3777
Phi Brad Lidge 2718
Pit Octavio Dotel
1386
StL Ryan Franklin 4587
SD Heath Bell 3918
SF Brian Wilson 3694
Sea David Aardsma 3470
TB Rafael Soriano 2959
Tex Frank Francisco 1007
Tor Jason Frasor 1679
Was Matt Capps 1009

Thursday, December 24, 2009

Save the Dome?


This guy knows he wants some kind of stadium for the Vikings. Would probably settle for a renovated Dome.

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

2009 ALDS Game 3 - Last Twins Metrodome Game

Monday, December 21, 2009

Nine Top NL 2009 Rookies and Their 2010 Benchwarmer Salaries

(See previous AL list one post down)

Chris Coghlan OF - Fla: 1330
Tommy Hanson SP - Atl: 1332
J.A. Happ SP - Phi: 1621
Andrew McCutchen OF - Pit: 1105
Dexter Fowler OF - Col: 902
Randy Wells SP - ChC: 2625
Garrett Jones 1B, OF - Pit: 699
Casey McGehee 2B, 3B - Mil: 917
Seth Smith OF - Col: 847

Sunday, December 20, 2009

Eleven Top 2009 AL Rookies and Their 2010 Benchwarmer Salaries

Since BWB salaries take into account more than one year of performance, these players may be a good value in your draft (or will they slump sophomorically?) :

Andrew Bailey RP - Oak: 3777
Elvis Andrus SS - Tex: 995
Jeff Niemann SP - TB: 2401
Rick Porcello SP - Det: 2053
Brett Anderson SP - Oak: 2378
Gordon Beckham 3B - CWS: 903
Nolan Reimold OF - Bal: 753
Matt Wieters C - Bal: 644
Brad Bergesen SP - Bal: 883
Ricky Romero SP - Tor: 2207
Travis Snider OF - Tor: 325

Save The Met

Metrodome from the Guthrie

Monday, August 3, 2009

Harper's Index Statistic of the Day

Estimated percentage of all existing blogs that have not been updated in four months: 94

Tip of the Day: Pick up players now, while they're cheap!

Wednesday, March 4, 2009

Starting From Scratch

The winter's been going by awfully slow, I've had a free team, a reward for winning a division last year, just sitting there waiting to be activated, and said division winner has nine dollars to its name.  I've had my fill of mock drafts, prospect lists, and doomsday predictions for society.   Time for a draft!

So...I've just finished tweaking  my submission for a fresh team in the Bleed Dodger Blue (do these guys know each other?) League.  A chance to take a shot at absolutely anybody out there, and if you miss out on a $100 player with a real career in front of him, you might never see him available again.  In general, my strategy is to try not to think too much about how many other teams want "my guys," but fit as many of the guys I really want on my list as possible.   After all, just like the lottery, you can't win if you don't play.  I'd already done my draft's first draft before reading Dave R.'s top 16 draft targets - each guy is very compelling, but are there no BWB secrets any more? :)  After scouring and scrubbing I've got 6 of those players on my final list.  After the draft's done, I'll take a look at how successful I was in getting the guys I wanted, and if it looks like some other teams look a lot better than mine after putting the pieces together differently...

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Twinsfest 2009

























I swear, every time I go to Twinsfest, it happens to be the most brutal day of the year to attempt a short trek from a parking ramp to the Dome. This year, my blog photographer and I arrived a little early to ensure that I'd get my Killebrew card autographed (it's for charity, so there's nothing wrong with me). I could not believe the line out there in that weather. Small children literally screamed and ran in circles as their parents convinced them it was going to be fun to stand in a new, warm line for two hours just as soon as they were done waiting out here so they could stand next to a guy they've never heard of for three seconds.

According to The Man, 31,000+ attended this, and if that is true, most of them waited in the Ben Revere line after they were done with the M&M signatures. If Revere puts on another Loftonesque display in the minors this year, the Gomez bandwagon could break down and Ben could achieve backup-QB-like saviour status around town.

I'd anticipated this, beaten the rush to Ben, and my plan to be early to the Mudcat Grant line was going great, and it's not like he wouldn't be there or anything, seeing as how he was hanging with Fergie Jenkins (see above) selling signed baseballs for charity in the late morning. Well, official word soon came that he was "on a plane" even though he was also scheduled to appear the next day....anybody know the story?? The mainstream media is afraid to report the facts! As usual, baseless conjecture by bloggers must carry the day!









Thursday, January 15, 2009

Item: World's Biggest Procrastinator Attempts Blog

Responding to an open invitation by the creator and commissioner-for-life of Benchwarmer Baseball, I decided that posting my deep thoughts on BWB, fantasy baseball, baseball, and other lesser elements of life might possibly be a way to slow my accelerating brain decay and short attention span caused by being born into Generation X.

Anyway....Anyone reading this for at least the next year knows what Benchwarmer Baseball is, but for future generations scrolling all the way to the bottom, BWB is basically an updated, web version of a 150 game season of Strat-O-Matic baseball, without the cool collectible cards, but the outcomes are determined by actual game results rather than dice, and you as the owner/GM/manager get the additional fun responsibilities associated with franchise-building, except nobody gets the extra revenue of the Yankees.  Players' salaries are based on performance (take that, Carl Pavano!), contracts are available for the long term planner, and you can experiment with how best to allocate your finite resources. With twelve minor league roster sports, you also get to experience the joy of watching a guy you draft never actually contribute anything at all.

I personally have two BWB teams as of now,  the 2002 champion Nordeast Knotholes, of the original Hall of Fame League, and the recently dethroned but perennial divisional powerhouse Nokomis Choo Choo Trains in the Longball League.  I resist the temptation to add more each year, as I already participate in two "real life" head-to-head leagues and one old-style NL-only rotisserie league.  As the winter crawls by though, and I spend idle minutes at work refreshing ballbug (I love this site!), it is BWB that comes to the rescue by beginning the building of 2009 rosters in December and January.  Apart from getting your own rosters set, it is interesting to scan through all the redistribution league drafts, see which prospects everyone is going for, and try to investigate a few new names your own personal favorite sites didn't mention.

With all the information out there, I am not exactly sure what I will be able to add; perhaps I will chronicle my teams' seasons, or the Twinkies' last year in the hallowed Metrodome, or I'll get laid off and spend ten hours a day on a fabulous new Manifesto.....most likely the former I suppose.  Through pure chance, the Knotholes have always been hitting-centric, with A-Rod on board since day one, and peaking when he was joined by Bonds and Giambi in their juiced prime. The Choo Choo Trains continue to win divisions with starting pitching, the staff currently anchored by Santana and Peavy.  Also right now the Knotholes are swimming in money (though not quite as much, due to a trade for Brian McCann this week), and poor planning left the Choo Choo Trains with, ahem, nine (thought it was a misprint!) dollars as of now.  Any big spenders out there want to give me a pile of money for Rick Porcello?